It’s been quite some time since I made a price prediction as part of Auction Watch. So please allow me to obnoxiously congratulate myself. I fucking nailed the final price of the
Class A Purple #155. Nobody is happier about it than me.
If I have learned one thing in my life, then it is this: If a little bit of something is good, then take it to the absolute extreme and do as much of it as possible until it becomes a serious, embarrassing problem. This time the “something” is predicting prices.The first auction, Vintage Mattel 1985 M.U.S.C.L.E. Weird Wrestlers 2 Garbage Can 10-Pcks 12 Loose, presents a serious challenge. The lot includes Satan Cross, two 10-packs, and 11 loose Flesh figures.
If I have learned two things in my life, then the second is this: Always, immediately, dive into the deepest, darkest, most treacherous water.
This lot has an opening bid of $75. I’m not surprised it already has one bid (as of writing). I am very surprised it doesn’t have more.
I think the $75 covers the Satan Cross and 11 extra Flesh figures. But does someone actually want two sealed Flesh 10-packs? Are they going to aggressively try and win these? Or are these “extras” in a Satan Cross lot?
If it was a single 10-pack, then I would guess that it would be valued at around $75. Since there are two of them I would guess collectors are going to value them at around $50 each.
Acknowledging the “I MUST have this Satan Cross” factor, I’m guessing that the final price of the first auction will be $195.The second auction, 1985 unopened m.u.s.c.l.e. men 28 figure #3 set unopened, is also focused on a price. I can’t believe someone would want this for $59.95.
A sealed 28-pack is interesting and it should have mint figures, but what’s the advantage of owning it?
More importantly, why pay $60 for it? A 28-pack in good to great condition probably sells for around $30. Does intact tape double the price?
A sealed 28-pack doesn’t display differently than a opened one. Open 4- and 10-packs are obviously less attractive and displayable than sealed ones – but that’s just not true with 28-packs.
I’m just kind of speechless on this one. Can anybody explain paying $60 for this 28-pack?The third auction, Lot Of 20 Pink M.U.S.C.L.E. Men, features 20 “so called” M.U.S.C.L.E. figures.
I love auction descriptions. They’re like eating delicious calorie-free french fries or candy or whatever is your junk food preference.
Am I alone on this? It just cracks me up what people decide to include or suggest in auction descriptions.
But the real reason I selected this auction (that’s a lie, the “so called” cracked me up) was to bookend the first auction – to make another prediction. Because this auction ends before the first one (and doesn’t include two 10-packs) I believe it is the more attractive auction for Satan Cross pursuers.
I think the final price of the third auction will be…umm…$89.50.